I suppose they're in not great shape as a company - but they're not even close to out of the game CPU-wise. Arrow-Lake has some game-killing issues that may or may not be resolved, yet Intel's cores are as stout as ever; Intel has what it takes to stay in the winning position, market-share wise, IMO.
I don't think they are out of the game, but you do realize that the last CPU family they launched (at least in the consumer space) that was problem free was 12th Gen Alder Lake, and that was 3 years ago.
They were so desperate to take the performance crown with Raptor Lake that they overvolted the CPU's too much with insufficient validation, and paid the price, and now Arrow Lake is both a disappointment performance-wise,
and has some problems.
And we also learned that they were so desperate to maintain their lead that even back when they had very poor competition from AMD they did stupid unsafe stuff with SMT that resulted in Spectre/Meltdown.
I think they have been teetering on the edge and coasting on their reputation for longer than we realized, and the 10nm issue just set them back enough that the cracks started showing.
They seem to have a decent architecture when it comes to Integer/FPU, but by their own admission they are so far behind that they will never catch up on NPU/TPU (if that indeed does wind up becoming important for the consumer, which is still unclear) and they ceded the mobile market long ago when they their late to the party Atom based smartphone SoC's were canceled in 2016 (which in retrospect seems to coincide with the end of the Tik-Tok model when the realities of their 10nm problems started to set in)
They are in serious catch-up mode when it comes to silicon fab manufacturing, and if they can do so remains to be seen.
They could turn into another fabless semiconductor manufacturer relying on TSMC, and could probably do so successfully, if they can get over whatever issues are holding Arrow Lake back (possibly just an issue of Intel's design being optimized for their own manufacturing process, not for TSMC's, and them still building experience when it comes to manufacturing at TSMC) who knows.
All of this will take time and money though, and time and money are both in short supply.
It's not that their IP suddenly does not have value anymore. It's that they might very well run out of money before they can capitalize on it in a big way again.
In a way, they are in better shape than AMD was for in the past. The money and time issue is very similar, but AMD also didn't have a good modern architecture design until they pulled a rabbit out of a hat with the development of Zen which saved the company
just in time.
Intel can pull it off, but they have to shed their sense of inevitability and comfort and adopt a sense of urgency if they are going to do it. I think AMD had an advantage there. They were always the scrappy underdog with a need to fight to get ahead. Intel has rested on their laurels for so long now that creating the kind of cultural change they need for this to happen is probably going to be very very difficult.
They need to exit "Ivory Tower" mode and enter "High Paced Startup/Underdog" mode and those kinds of attitudes don't easily change overnight.