60% shrink you say...
Google and ChatGPT beg to differ, but don't take my word on it, do a quick search.
The AI/Datacenter market is crazy right now.
It races until it hits the next constraint: Chips, Power, Water, whatever hits next.
I read somewhere that while nVidia has sold a metric buttload of AI chips, only a handful of those are actually installed and working - the rest are sitting in warehouses, because they hit some constraint to allow them to be run.
Everyone is just kinda hording assets. Working in the Power industry, I'm seeing it right now with turbines and engines. I'm betting it's the same deal with RAM and whatever else is being jacked over right now.
There are something like 85 major data centers in planning around the US right now. These are massive - like... use more power than the entire rest of the state they are being located in massive. Take a peek at Stratos, Stargate, Hyperion:
https://orennia.com/insights/the-20-largest-data-centers-being-developed-in-north-america Just add those top 20 projects up, and it just about doubles the entire electrical production of the entire rest of the United States.
My opinion - I think there are really only about 5 or 10 major projects of this scale, and they are being shopped around to find the most lucrative/exploitative location for installation - so you see a lot of planning and permits and applications, but there aren't really that many projects that could possibly go online in the next 2-5 years. The US couldn't support all that are in the planning stage right now, it's going to keep hitting the next constraint if we keep trying to develop at this scale.